Prognostic value of measurement of myocardial extracellular volume using dual-energy CT in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

Diffuse myocardial fibrosis is associated with adverse outcomes in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Dual-energy CT (DECT) can noninvasively assess myocardial fibrosis by quantification of extracellular volume (ECV) fraction. This study evaluated the association between ECV measured by DECT and clinical outcomes in patients with HFpEF. 125 hospitalized HFpEF patients were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. ECV was measured using DECT with late iodine enhancement. The composite endpoint was defined as HFpEF hospitalization and all-cause mortality during the follow-up. During the median follow-up of 10.4 months, 34 patients (27.20%) experienced the composite outcomes, including 5 deaths; and 29 HFpEF hospitalizations. The higher DECT-ECV group had higher rates of composite outcomes than the low ECV group (log-rank X2 = 6.818, P = 0.033). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, the ECV (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.06–1.30, P = 0.001) and NT-pro BNP (HR 2.83, 95% CI 1.16–6.88, P = 0.022) were independent risk factors for the adverse outcomes. Myocardial ECV measured using DECT was an independent risk factor for adverse outcomes in patients with HFpEF.

has been confirmed associated with adverse outcomes in HFpEF [13][14][15] .Compared with CMR, assessment of myocardial fibrosis using DECT has the potential advantages of easy acquisition and not being limited by the presence of implantable electronic devices 7 .It is unclear whether ECV quantified by DECT could also be associated with poor outcomes in HFpEF.Thus, this study measured ECV using DECT and investigated the association between ECV and the clinical outcomes of patients with HFpEF.

Study population
This was a single-center study and we retrospectively reviewed the hospitalized HFpEF patients who underwent DECT examination in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University.From January 2019 to December 2020, 125 patients were enrolled in the study.HFpEF, defined according to the 2016 European Society for Cardiology guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure 16 .The inclusion criteria were: (1) presence of signs or symptoms of heart failure and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥ 50%.(2) B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) ≥ 100 pg/ml or N-terminal pro-BNP (NT-pro BNP) ≥ 300 pg/ml.(3) New York Heart Association (NYHA) grade II or higher.(4) Patients underwent hematocrit and NT-pro-BNP measurements were performed within a 24-h interval of DECT.Exclusive criteria included: (1) Contraindication to iodinated contrast agents.(2) Patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 30 ml/min/1.73m 2 .(3) Acute coronary syndrome or with a history of myocardial infarction, significant valvular heart disease (i.e.greater than moderate left-sided valve disease); known or suspected hypertrophic/infiltrative cardiomyopathy or constrictive pericarditis, amyloidosis, and adult congenital heart disease.(4) Previous percutaneous coronary intervention, or coronary artery bypass grafting.

Ethics approval
The study complied with the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by the committee of the institutional review board at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University (No. 2020KN094).All patients signed the informed consent forms.

Baseline characteristics and DECT scan protocol
We collected baseline characteristics, clinical data from the hospital medical records, including age, sex, body mass index (BMI), smoking, drinking, hypertension, diabetes, atrial fibrillation and blood pressure.Fasting venous blood was collected, and biochemistry tests were performed in the second morning after the patients were admitted.Hemoglobin, fasting plasma glucose (FPG), glycated hemoglobin A 1c (HbA 1 c), serum creatinine (Scr), triglycerides (TG), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and NT-pro BNP level were detected.
All patients were examined with a third-generation dual-source CT (Somatom Force, Siemens Healthcare, Forchheim, Germany).Before the examination, if the patient's heart rate exceeded 75 bpm, 25-50 mg metoprolol (AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd.) would be given to slow the heart rate.A bolus of 50 ml iopromide (Ultravist 370, Bayer Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Co., Ltd.) was then injected into the antecubital vein at a flow rate of 4.5-5.0ml/s, followed by 30 ml of saline as a bolus chaser injected at the same flow rate.
During the CCT scan, the following procedures included: a prospective electrocardiography (ECG)-gated calcium score acquisition, a prospective ECG-gated coronary CT angiography (CCTA) and a delay DECT scan.The scan ranged from 1 cm below the tracheal bifurcation to the diaphragmatic level of heart.The scanning parameters included: A-tube voltage 100 kV, B-tube sn140 kV, automatic tube current modulation technology, a 192 × 0.6 mm collimation, and 0.15 pitch factor.The acquisition phase was 65-80% of the R-R interval.The DECT scanning was conducted 7 min later with the same parameters and scan range for the calcification score acquisition.All images were reconstructed with a matrix 512 × 512, slice thickness of 0.6 mm, interval of 0.4 mm and convolution kernel (Qr36).The effective radiation dose of CT was calculated by multiplying the dose-length product by a conversion factor of 0.014.

DECT data post processing and ECV measurement
The DECT post-processing was performed on a workstation (Syngo via, VB20, Siemens Medical Solutions, Forchheim, Germany).The iodine maps were constructed by the 'heart PBV' software, based on the material decomposition method, which displayed the distribution of iodine in the left ventricle.The iodine maps were reconstructed in a short axis view with an 8-mm thickness from the base to apex of the heart without any gaps.According to the 16-segment of left ventricular myocardium 17 , the regions of interest (ROIs) were manually conservatively drawn in each segment to avoid the periphery of the myocardium.The ROI in the blood pool with a size over 100 mm 2 excluded the papillary muscles and focal delayed myocardial enhancement.The evaluation of ECV was completed by two experienced observers.DECT-ECV was calculated as follows: ECV (%) = (iodine density of myocardium/iodine density of blood pool) × (1 − hematocrit level) × 100%, the iodine density of myocardium is the myocardial iodine density of delay enhancement, and iodine density of the blood pool is the enhanced iodine density of the left ventricular blood pool (Figs. 1, 2).

Echocardiographic measurement
All study participants underwent transthoracic echocardiography by an experienced echocardiographer using Philips IE33 ultrasound scanner with S5-1 transducer.Cardiac structure and function were assessed following recommendations of the American Society of Echocardiography and European Association of Echocardiography guidelines 18,19 .Briefly, echocardiographic parameters including left ventricular volume, ejection fraction, and diastolic functions.Left ventricular end-diastolic volume (LVEDV), left ventricular end-systolic volume (LVESV), and LVEF were derived from Simpson's biplane method.Left atrial volume (LAV) was measured using the area-length method from the apical two-and four-chamber views at ventricular end-systole.This was then divided by body surface area to obtain the left atrial volume index (LAVI).Peak early diastolic trans-mitral flow velocity (E-wave) and early diastolic mitral annular velocity (eʹ) to estimate LV filling pressures were assessed by Doppler echocardiography.These were then averaged to calculate E/eʹ ratio.

Follow-up and endpoint ascertainment
The study period lasted for 12 months.The majority of patients were followed by reviewing their electronic medical records, while telephone interviews were conducted with some participants in special circumstances (such as contacting family members if the patient passed away).The composite endpoint in the current study was defined as HFpEF hospitalization and all-cause death.www.nature.com/scientificreports/

Statistical analysis
All statistical analyses were performed by SPSS 22.0 software.The continuous variables were assessed through the Shapiro-Wilk test and presented as either mean and standard deviation (SD) for normal distribution or median and interquartile range for non-normal distribution.The categorical variables were presented as numbers and percentages.To compare baseline characteristics of patients with or without composite outcomes, the Mann-Whitney U test was used for non-normally distributed continuous variables, the two-tailed t-test for normally distributed continuous variables, and the χ 2 test for categorical variables.Bland-Altman analysis was run to evaluate intra-observer and inter-observer agreements for the ECV measurements.The correlation between variables and ECV was evaluated using the Pearson or Spearman correlation.Linear regression analysis was run to identify the factors associated with ECV.Patients were divided into three groups according to the ECV.Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed and the log-rank test was used to measure differences in the outcome events of these groups.Risk factors of the endpoint were analyzed using both univariate and multivariate-adjusted Cox regression analyses.Hazard ratios (HRs) and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were presented as well.P < 0.05 was recognized as a statistical difference.

Study characteristics
All 125 patients completed the DECT examination and none of them lost during the follow-up, with the mean age of 63.98 ± 12.14 years.They were categorized as with or without the composite outcomes.During the median follow-up of 10.4 months, there were 34 patients (27.20%) experienced the composite outcomes, including 5 deaths; and 29 HFpEF hospitalizations.The demographic and clinical characteristics are presented in Table 1.Compared with the patients without adverse outcomes, patients with adverse outcomes had higher age, ECV and NT-pro BNP level (P < 0.05).

Discussion
In this study, we investigated ECV measured using DECT with late iodine enhancement in patients with HFpEF.And we demonstrated the significant association between ECV and clinical outcomes in HFpEF.
Heart failure is the final stage of cardiovascular disease, and nearly 50% of cases are caused by HFpEF 20 .Myocardial fibrosis is a significant pathological process in HFpEF.When there is an injury to the myocardium, the cardiac fibroblasts become active and differentiate into myofibroblasts, whose secretome causes alterations in the extracellular processing of fibrillary collagen facilitating the excessive accumulation of collagen fibers, and the extracellular matrix deposited, leading to myocardial fibrosis, reducing cardiac compliance, myocardial stiffness, ventricular diastolic dysfunction and heart failure 1,21 .Kanagala et al. 22 found that the extent of myocardial fibrosis is significantly associated with an increased risk of hospitalization and death in patients with HFpEF.Therefore, the detection of structural myocardial fibrosis is of major prognostic value.
ECV assesses myocardial fibrosis, and noninvasive cardiac imaging modalities such as CMR, and CCT, are used to evaluate ECV.Although CMR is currently the great effective imaging method for the clinical assessment of ECV 23 , it has several limitations, such as limited scan slices, and contraindication, in patients with claustrophobia or implanted pacemaker 24 .Compared with CMR, DECT has the potential advantages of ease of acquisition and not being limited by the presence of implantable electronic devices 7 .Recent studies have validated that ECV calculated with DECT has a great correlation with CMR-ECV 4,25 , and DECT-ECV measured using iodine-density method with delayed enhancement is more accurate than the subtraction method using single-energy CT 26 , with CMR as the reference.Therefore, we used the iodine-density method derived from DECT to measure ECV.In this study, we found patients with higher ECV fraction had more adverse events than those with lower ECV.This is consistent with previous evidence that myocardial fibrosis is associated with poor outcomes in HFpEF.www.nature.com/scientificreports/ In line with previous studies 27 , we also confirmed that NT-pro BNP was an important biomarker of the prognosis in HFpEF.NT-pro BNP is a circulating cardiac biomarker of myocardial stretch and biomechanical stress, and is advised in HFpEF guidelines 16 .Furthermore, NT-pro BNP specifies cardiac dysfunction and is robustly associated with adverse outcomes 28,29 .The levels of NT-pro BNP are increased in HFpEF and mirror the severity of cardiac morphological and functional abnormalities, such as LV hypertrophy, fibrosis and diastolic dysfunction 30 .Schelbert et al. 14 have shown that ECV measured with CMR were strongly associated with logtransformed BNP levels in a sub-cohort of patients with HFpEF.However, our study did not show that NT-pro BNP was associated with ECV.Wu et al. also found NT-pro BNP level was unable to differentiate the degree of fibrosis well, and that it was associated with heart failure symptoms 31 .In addition to the limited small sample size, another possible reason for this is that NT-pro BNP is not just a marker of volume overload and could be influenced by the character and duration of loading conditions 32 .Factors that impact NT-pro BNP should also be taken into consideration, including atrial fibrillation, kidney disease, diabetic ketosis, obesity and increasing age 29 .
We found that ECV measured with DECT was associated with echocardiographic parameters about systolic and diastolic dysfunction.In our study, ECV was negatively correlated with LVEF and positively correlated with Table 1.Baseline characteristics of HFpEF patients.BMI body mass index, BP blood pressure, FPG fasting plasma glucose, HbA 1c glycated hemoglobin A 1c , Scr serum creatinine, eGFR the glomerular filtration rate, TG triglycerides, LDL-C low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, NT-pro BNP N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, LVEF left ventricular ejection fraction, LVEDV left ventricular end-diastolic volume, LVESV left ventricular end-systolic volume, LVMI left ventricular mass index, LAV left atrial volume, LAVI left atrial volume index, ECV extracellular volume, SGLT-2i sodium-glucose cotransporter2 inhibitor, ARNI/ACEI/ ARB angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor or angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers.Categorical variables are expressed as ' a 'as number (percentages).Continuous variables are presented as ' b 'as mean (standard deviation) or as ' c 'as median (interquartile range).

Study limitations
This study has several limitations.First, this single center retrospective study enrolled a small population of HFpEF patients and set a short follow-up period, which would not avoid recall bias and residual confounders.In the future, prospective multicenter clinical trials with larger samples are necessary to investigate the characteristics of DECT-ECV in the subgroups of different types of heart failure and to analyze its relationship with long-term prognosis.Second, the ECV was available only at baseline, not measured dynamically during the follow-up.Therefore, any changes in ECV may have occurred in response to the therapeutic management of HFpEF are unknown and need further exploration.

Conclusion
In summary, the findings of this study confirm that myocardial ECV measured using DECT was associated with the composite outcomes of patients with HFpEF, which may be an independent risk factor for predicting prognosis in this population.

Figure 1 .
Figure 1.Iodine map shows the measurement of ECV with low value.(A) The iodine map were reconstructed in a short axis view with an 8-mm thickness from the base to apex.(B) A 75-year-old man with HFpEF, myocardial iodine/blood iodine is 43.8% for the base left ventricle, 42.5% for the middle left ventricle, and 36.5% for the apes left ventricle.The serum hematocrit level is 44.2%.The mean ECV of the left ventricle base is calculated as 24.44%, and the mean ECV of the middle, apex, and whole left ventricle is calculated as 23.72%, 20.2%, and 23.11%.

Figure 2 .
Figure 2. Iodine map shows the measurement of ECV with high value.(A)The iodine maps were reconstructed in a short axis view with an 8-mm thickness from the base to apex.(B) A 74-year-old woman with HFpEF, myocardial iodine/blood iodine is 54.8% for the base left ventricle, 51.5% for the middle left ventricle, and 59.1% for the apes left ventricle.The serum hematocrit level is 32.4%.The mean ECV of the left ventricle base is calculated as 37.04%, and the mean ECV of the middle, apex, and whole left ventricle is calculated as 34.81%, 39.95%, and 36.93%. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-58271-9

Figure 4 .
Figure 4. Cumulative incidence curve for the composite endpoint according to ECV.

Table 2 .
22sociation LVMI, LAVI, E/eʹ.Previous studies have confirmed the relationship between these parameters and ECV derived from CMR. Wang et al. found a negative correlation between LVEF and ECV4.Kanagala et al. found ECV was significantly associated with E/eʹ, left ventricular mass/volume, maximal LAVI22.This implies there is a structure-function relationship between ECV changes and segmental myocardial function.

Table 3 .
Risk factors analysis for the composite endpoint.CI confidence interval, NT-pro BNP N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, LVEF left ventricular ejection fraction, ECV extracellular volume.